Human Reproduction, Vol. 7, No. 5, pp. 723-725, 1992
© 1992 European Society of Human Reproduction and Embryology
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Improved sensitivity and specificity of a single measurement of serum progesterone over serial quantitative beta-human chorionic gonadotrophin in screening for ectopic pregnancy
1Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Division of Gynecology, University of Tennessee Memphis, TN, USA 2Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Division of Reproductive Endocrinology andInfertility, University of Tennessee Memphis, TN, USA
Correspondence: 3To whom correspondence should be addressed at: Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, 853 Jefferson Ave. E-102, Memphis, TN 38103, USA
The sensitivity and specificity of a single serum progesterone measurement was compared against two
-human chorionic gonadotrophin (HCG) measurements 48 h apart in screening for abnormal pregnancy, i.e. ectopic pregnancy, completed or incomplete abortion. Of 1120 patients in the first trimester presenting with a positive urinary pregnancy test, 116/1120 (10.4%) had an ectopic pregnancy, 755/1120 (67.4%) had ultrasonographically confirmed intra-uterine pregnancies, and 249/1120 (22.2%) had abnormal intra-uterine pregnancies documented as complete, incomplete or missed abortions. Of the ectopic pregnancies, 113/116 (97.4%) had a serum progesterone level <25 ng/ml while 516/755 (68.3%) viable intra-uterine pregnancies had a serum progesterone level
25 ng/ml. Of the 1120 patients screened, 402 (35.9%) had both a serum progesterone and two HCG measurements and were eligible for inclusion in this study. Setting a cut-off of 25 ng/ml, the sensitivity and specificity of a single serum progesterone measurement was then compared against two serial HCG measurements, utilizing receiver operating characteristic curves. This analysis demonstrated that a single serum progesterone measurement was significantly more sensitive (P < 0.05) than two HCG measurements in screening for an abnormal pregnancy. In some patients, a single serum progesterone makes possible the diagnosis of ectopic pregnancy 2 days earlier than two HCG determinations because a second blood sample was not required. We conclude that a single serum progesterone measurement should be added to serial HCG determinations as a standard diagnostic screening test for ectopic pregnancy.
Key words: ectopic pregnancy/human chorionic gonadotrophin/progesterone
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