Human Reproduction, Vol. 16, No. 12, 2606-2609,
December 2001
© 2001 European Society of Human Reproduction and Embryology
Polycystic ovarian syndrome and the risk of spontaneous abortion following assisted reproductive technology treatment
Reproductive Medicine Unit, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Adelaide, The Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Woodville, SA 5011, Australia
| Abstract |
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BACKGROUND: A high proportion of infertile patients have polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS) with a reportedly greater risk of spontaneous abortion. Because of the close link between PCOS and obesity and the independent association of obesity with poor pregnancy outcomes, it is important to distinguish the possible confounding effect of body mass index (BMI) or other variables from that of PCOS. This study aims to determine the effect of PCOS status on the risk of spontaneous abortion with adjustment for body mass and several other confounding factors in a large cohort of pregnant infertile women. METHODS: The patients (n = 1018) were treated in a tertiary infertility centre. Their PCOS status was determined by standard criteria and their BMI had been taken less than 1 year before the pregnancy. Patients whose PCOS status or BMI measurements were not assessed were excluded. Student's t-test or
2 test were used to test the difference between the PCOS and non-PCOS groups while a multivariate logistical regression model was used to assess the effect of PCOS, BMI and other confounding factors. RESULTS: Overall, the incidence of PCOS was 37% in this cohort. The overall incidence of spontaneous abortion in the study population was 21%. Univariate analysis showed that women with PCOS had a significantly greater risk of spontaneous abortion compared with non-PCOS women (25 versus 18%, P < 0.01). However, using multivariate logistic regression analysis this effect was reduced to a non-significant level [odds ratio (OR) = 1.10, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.851.36] after adjusting for obesity and patients/treatment combination factor, and to nil after adjusting for all confounding factors considered in this study (OR = 0.98, 95% CI 0.751.28). CONCLUSION: The results of this study suggest that the higher risk of spontaneous abortion observed in women with PCOS is likely to be due to their high prevalence of obesity and the type of treatment they receive.
Key words: BMI/PCOS/spontaneous abortion
| Introduction |
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A high proportion of infertile patients have polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS). In addition to many metabolic and clinical symptoms (Solomon, 1999
| Materials and methods |
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The patients included in this cohort study were treated in the Reproductive Medicine Unit, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Adelaide, during the period of 19871999. Their PCOS status was determined by criteria described by Norman et al. (Norman et al., 1995
8 nmol/l). Treatment protocols have been described elsewhere (Kerin et al., 1984
Pregnancy was defined as the presence of an embryonic sac(s) by an ultrasound scan carried out 46 weeks after embryo transfer. Spontaneous abortion was defined as a pregnancy failing to reach 20 full weeks of gestation, excluding losses due to ectopic pregnancy or induced abortion. No patient was lost to follow-up. Either Student's t-test or
2 test was used to test the difference between the PCOS and non-PCOS groups. A multivariate logistical regression model was used to assess the effect of PCOS, BMI and other confounding factors. A statistical significance level of P < 0.05 was used.
| Results |
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Overall, the prevalence of PCOS was 37% in this cohort. As shown in Table I
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The overall incidence of spontaneous abortion in the study population was 21% (211/1018). The unadjusted rate of spontaneous abortion in relation to various confounding factors and the adjusted odds ratios(OR) resulting from multivariate logistic regression analysis are shown in Table II
2 test) showed that women with PCOS had significantly greater risk of spontaneous abortion than those without PCOS (25 versus 18%, P < 0.01). In addition, older age, a history of previous spontaneous abortion as well as obesity (BMI >30 kg/m2) all significantly increased the risk of spontaneous abortion (P < 0.01). The concentration of oestradiol at oocyte retrieval was also positively associated with the risk of spontaneous abortion (P < 0.01). Women treated by ICSI, which was less frequently used in women with PCOS in our treatment population, had significantly lower risks (P < 0.05) than those treated by IVF or GIFT.
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Although in univariate analysis it was found that PCOS status had a significant effect on the risk of spontaneous abortion, multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the effect of PCOS status was reduced to a lower, only marginally significant, level by adjusting for either obesity [OR = 1.37, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.001.89] or patients/treatment combination factor (OR = 1.27, 95% CI 0.921.75) respectively. The effect of PCOS was further reduced to a non-significant level (OR = 1.10, 95% CI 0.851.36) after adjusting for these two factors simultaneously, and to nil after adjusting for all confounding factors considered in this study (OR = 0.98, 95% CI 0.751.28).
| Discussion |
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It is well known that women with PCOS have a high prevalence of obesity (Pasquali et al., 1997
Infertility treatment covers a variety of treatment modalities for patients with different aetiology and involves different types or doses of drugs for ovarian stimulation. As shown here, the treatment type and stimulation levels could also have an effect on the risk of spontaneous abortion and act as confounding factors for the effect of PCOS in this study. The reduced risk of spontaneous abortion for patients receiving ICSI treatment has been reported previously (Orvieto et al., 2000
). In the present study, the unadjusted effect may be partly due to age difference. Another reason could be the extent of complexity of infertility aetiology since ICSI was commonly used for severe male factor infertility, rather than for female factor infertility. The concentration of oestradiol at oocyte retrieval was usually the highest oestradiol concentration observed during the ovarian stimulation process, so it reflected the maximum body response to gonadotrophin stimulation and the maximum exposure of the uterus to oestradiol. It has been reported that that high oestradiol concentrations were detrimental to uterine receptivity (Valbuena et al., 1999
) while reduced oestradiol concentrations could increase uterine receptivity (Simon et al., 1998
). Women with PCOS have responded to ovarian stimulation more vigorously than those without PCOS in this study as indicated by their significantly higher oestradiol concentration. Higher oestradiol concentrations were linked with an increased risk of spontaneous abortion in this study. Oestradiol concentration may also act as a modifying factor in women with PCOS. The risk of spontaneous abortion was increased in women with PCOS at higher concentrations of oestradiol. The relative risk of spontaneous abortion by the concentration of oestradiol was 0.7 at <2 nmol/l, 1.5 at 27.9 nmol/l and 1.2 at
8 nmol/l. This finding implicates ovarian stimulation as a possible cause for the higher risk of spontaneous abortion in assisted reproductive technology pregnancies. Further confirmation of this finding is necessary. The identification of treatment related risk factors may increase our understanding of the cause of the high risk of spontaneous abortion amongst assisted reproductive technology pregnancies and help to reduce it.
In conclusion, this study suggests that the effect of PCOS on the risk of spontaneous abortion in pregnant women following assisted reproductive technology treatment could be due to their high prevalence of obesity and the type of treatment they received which, in turn, can be related to their infertility aetiology.
| Acknowledgements |
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Ms Barbara Godfrey and other staff of Reproductive Medicine Unit are acknowledged for their contribution to the data collection as part of their routine work.
| Notes |
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1 To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: jim.wang{at}adelaide.edu.au
| References |
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Submitted on May 3, 2001; accepted on August 24, 2001.
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